I figured I would go off and run the tool on a few prominent tickers, make a prediction for a time period, and revisit later to see how those predictions fared.
Keep in mind, this is rather unscientific. I’ll be updating throughout the day as the analysis finish. Largely a task illustrating how long this takes to do without architectural enhancements we do in upcoming steps.
GOOG
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============ Wed Mar 15 15:16:39 2017 ============= GOOG 847.20 Alphabet Inc. ======= Running analysis on 20 links ======= Emotion Mean Var Std (20 samples) Normal 0.5156 0.0563 0.2373 Conscientiousness 0.2442 0.0371 0.1925 Confident 0.0156 0.0045 0.0671 Emotional Range 0.4991 0.0878 0.2963 Joy 0.2939 0.0218 0.1476 Tentative 0.2090 0.0319 0.1786 Extraversion 0.5607 0.0626 0.2503 Analytical 0.4728 0.0762 0.2760 Sadness 0.4899 0.0149 0.1220 Agreeableness 0.3334 0.0409 0.2021 Disgust 0.2445 0.0381 0.1951 Anger 0.2518 0.0261 0.1617 Openness 0.2821 0.0269 0.1639 Fear 0.1462 0.0068 0.0825 |
Seeing low Fear, Disgust, Tentativeness, High Extraversion. In One Week I expect this stock to be greater than current value.
AAPL
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============ Wed Mar 15 15:25:33 2017 ============= AAPL 140.46 Apple Inc. ======= Running analysis on 20 links ======= Emotion Mean Var Std (20 samples) Normal 0.5617 0.1266 0.3558 Conscientiousness 0.1761 0.0139 0.1178 Confident 0.0463 0.0174 0.1318 Emotional Range 0.3178 0.0849 0.2914 Joy 0.2218 0.0166 0.1289 Tentative 0.2495 0.0612 0.2474 Extraversion 0.4522 0.0646 0.2541 Analytical 0.3988 0.0651 0.2551 Sadness 0.4443 0.0207 0.1440 Agreeableness 0.3138 0.0269 0.1641 Disgust 0.3339 0.0408 0.2019 Anger 0.3344 0.0327 0.1807 Openness 0.1684 0.0323 0.1798 Fear 0.1544 0.0059 0.0771 |
Perhaps parse this on >1 Anger/Joy, Disgust/Joy Ratio, and relatively high Sadness without any confidence… Predict Lower Stock Price in One Week
AMZN
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============ Wed Mar 15 16:21:23 2017 ============= AMZN 852.97 Amazon.com, Inc. ======= Running analysis on 20 links ======= Emotion Mean Var Std (20 samples) Normal 0.3751 0.0663 0.2574 Conscientiousness 0.3084 0.0335 0.1830 Confident 0.0006 0.0000 0.0026 Emotional Range 0.5292 0.0946 0.3075 Joy 0.2140 0.0352 0.1876 Tentative 0.1428 0.0295 0.1717 Extraversion 0.6010 0.0546 0.2337 Analytical 0.3168 0.1029 0.3208 Sadness 0.4456 0.0536 0.2314 Agreeableness 0.4405 0.0071 0.0843 Disgust 0.1496 0.0269 0.1639 Anger 0.1917 0.0235 0.1532 Openness 0.2406 0.0211 0.1452 Fear 0.1068 0.0030 0.0546 |
Same situation as AAPL, lower stock price
IBM
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============ Wed Mar 15 16:00:37 2017 ============= IBM 175.81 International Business Machines ======= Running analysis on 20 links ======= Emotion Mean Var Std (20 samples) Normal 0.5019 0.0960 0.3098 Conscientiousness 0.2275 0.0459 0.2143 Confident 0.0135 0.0035 0.0588 Emotional Range 0.3405 0.1163 0.3411 Joy 0.2284 0.0260 0.1614 Tentative 0.2286 0.0386 0.1966 Extraversion 0.4775 0.0854 0.2923 Analytical 0.3687 0.0776 0.2786 Sadness 0.5012 0.0237 0.1540 Agreeableness 0.3605 0.0198 0.1405 Disgust 0.2832 0.0451 0.2124 Anger 0.3469 0.0307 0.1753 Openness 0.1423 0.0088 0.0940 Fear 0.1369 0.0077 0.0877 |
High degree of Sadness and Anger, lower stock price
ORCL
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============ Wed Mar 15 16:52:11 2017 ============= ORCL 43.05 Oracle Corporation Common Stock ======= Running analysis on 20 links ======= Emotion Mean Var Std (20 samples) Normal 0.4777 0.1248 0.3533 Conscientiousness 0.2956 0.0477 0.2183 Confident 0.1377 0.0674 0.2597 Emotional Range 0.4379 0.1088 0.3298 Joy 0.3031 0.0354 0.1882 Tentative 0.1853 0.0343 0.1853 Extraversion 0.5382 0.0632 0.2514 Analytical 0.3882 0.0590 0.2430 Sadness 0.4724 0.0272 0.1648 Agreeableness 0.4538 0.0239 0.1545 Disgust 0.3257 0.0366 0.1912 Anger 0.2419 0.0215 0.1467 Openness 0.1722 0.0167 0.1293 Fear 0.1637 0.0143 0.1195 |
Elevated Joy and agreeableness, say its an increase in value.
We will see how we do in one week.